Better decisions for ambitious projects
Head of Data Science at Oxford Global Projects. PhD Fellow in Economics at Aarhus University. Co-author of the Wiley bestseller How to Measure Anything in Project Management.
Data Science & Advisory
Leading a multidisciplinary team developing decision tools and evidence-based solutions for some of the world's most complex projects.
Learn moreAuthor & Researcher
Co-author of a Wiley bestseller and published researcher on project forecasting, AI, and environmental economics.
The BookSpeaker & Educator
International keynote speaker and educator on data-driven project management, AI, and sustainability at leading conferences worldwide.
Speaking
How to Measure Anything in Project Management
A practical guide that replaces guesswork with rigorous measurement. Drawing on the world's largest project performance database, it offers practical tools to forecast outcomes, reduce risk and improve decisions.
Project Risk Lab
Interactive tools for evidence-based project decisions. Test your calibration, run Monte Carlo simulations, explore reference class forecasting and more.
Calibration Quiz
How well-calibrated are your probability estimates? Most people are overconfident. Find out where you stand.
Monte Carlo Simulator
Build a cost or schedule model and run thousands of simulations to see the full range of possible outcomes.
Parade of Trades
A game that shows how variability in individual tasks cascades into project-level delays.
Trusted by Leading Organisations
What People Say
Andreas has a natural talent for teaching and a gift for explaining complex concepts in a way that is accessible and engaging. His lectures are always well-researched, insightful and thought-provoking.Head of Leadership & Competence DevelopmentNCC
As a trusted advisor, Andreas simplifies advanced statistical analysis for diverse stakeholders — from risk experts to senior leadership — enabling informed and rational decisions on Britain's biggest infrastructure projects.UK Head of Risk Management & Technical DirectorWSP
Andreas is an outstanding communicator with deep intellectual curiosity. He transforms research into practice, builds high-performing teams and delivers transformative impact — including evidence that shaped UK legislation on low-carbon energy.Fellow, Said Business SchoolUniversity of Oxford
Andreas effectively uses data to develop and communicate insights. His technical skills, global experience and ability to synthesise complex information make his advice compelling, credible and thoughtful.Director of EconomicsNew Zealand Infrastructure Commission
Andreas's work on optimism bias and reference class forecasting has been highly influential. He moves effortlessly from explaining complex analysis in simple terms to performing cutting-edge statistical work — a rare combination of skills.Head of Economic Research & EngagementUK Department for Transport
In developing Hong Kong's AI-based Project Surveillance System, Andreas integrated vast data volumes into precise, actionable insights. Today the system monitors over 200 capital projects, optimising resources and exemplifying his analytical and creative vision.Principal Assistant SecretaryHong Kong Development Bureau
Let's Work Together
Interested in collaborating, booking a talk or learning more? I'd love to hear from you.